Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004370 0.004599 0.004835 0.005096 0.005376 0.005670 0.006001
2025-09-21 0.003980 0.004319 0.004683 0.005105 0.005582 0.006106 0.006729
2025-09-28 0.003626 0.004012 0.004436 0.004943 0.005533 0.006205 0.007034
2025-10-05 0.003444 0.003870 0.004352 0.004939 0.005643 0.006469 0.007521
2025-10-12 0.003344 0.003812 0.004350 0.005022 0.005848 0.006843 0.008152
2025-10-19 0.003197 0.003685 0.004257 0.004983 0.005895 0.007018 0.008537
2025-10-26 0.003074 0.003579 0.004179 0.004955 0.005947 0.007196 0.008927
2025-11-02 0.002960 0.003478 0.004101 0.004918 0.005982 0.007348 0.009285
2025-11-09 0.002913 0.003456 0.004118 0.005000 0.006169 0.007704 0.009939
2025-11-16 0.002826 0.003378 0.004060 0.004980 0.006220 0.007876 0.010342
2025-11-23 0.002744 0.003304 0.004002 0.004957 0.006261 0.008035 0.010732
2025-11-30 0.002650 0.003211 0.003916 0.004890 0.006239 0.008101 0.010986
2025-12-07 0.002558 0.003118 0.003828 0.004819 0.006208 0.008155 0.011228
2025-12-14 0.002503 0.003071 0.003799 0.004827 0.006288 0.008370 0.011730
2025-12-21 0.002391 0.002945 0.003660 0.004677 0.006134 0.008235 0.011673
2025-12-28 0.002341 0.002900 0.003628 0.004673 0.006192 0.008415 0.012126
2026-01-04 0.002323 0.002898 0.003653 0.004750 0.006369 0.008781 0.012908
2026-01-11 0.002266 0.002840 0.003600 0.004714 0.006375 0.008885 0.013256
2026-01-18 0.002215 0.002790 0.003555 0.004688 0.006394 0.009008 0.013645
2026-01-25 0.002165 0.002738 0.003507 0.004654 0.006400 0.009109 0.013997
2026-02-01 0.002153 0.002740 0.003533 0.004730 0.006576 0.009492 0.014884
2026-02-08 0.002112 0.002698 0.003497 0.004711 0.006605 0.009634 0.015337
2026-02-15 0.002071 0.002657 0.003460 0.004690 0.006626 0.009764 0.015776